drug situation, the Markov model, monitoring, demographic situation, development scenario.

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REGIONAL POPULATION MODEL OF DRUG ADDICTION EXTENSION

S. A. Mityagin, Y. . Zakharov, A. V. Boukhanovsky, P. A. Sloot


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Abstract

The paper presents the mathematical model creation of the population dynamic and drug addiction forecasting in the region territory. The aim is defining the structure, status and trends in drug addiction for quick and perspective analysis of possible trends. There are numerical forecasting results in the best and worst scenario case. The results interpretations in terms of economic and psychological well-being of the society are considered.


Keywords: drug situation, the Markov model, monitoring, demographic situation, development scenario.
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