doi: 10.17586/2226-1494-2026-26-2-393-401


Prediction of maximum stresses in the shaft–insert system using a neural network

A. I. Borovkov, A. S. Karchevskaia, A. D. Aleksei D., A. I. Matveeva, S. S. Sherbakov, N. M. Klimkovich, A. P. Daria, M. M. Poleschuk


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Borovkov A.I., Karchevskaia A.S., Novokshenov A.D., Matveeva A.I., Sherbakov S.S., Klimkovich N.M., Podgayskaya D.A., Poleschuk M.M. Prediction of maximum stresses in the “shaft–insert” system using a neural network. Scientific and Technical Journal of Information Technologies, Mechanics and Optics, 2026, vol. 26, no. 2, pp. 393–401 (in Russian). doi: 10.17586/2226-1494-2026-26-2-393-401


Abstract
The reliability of machines largely depends on the accuracy of predicting the stress–strain state of components in tribo-fatigue systems, especially under high operating loads. Traditional finite element analysis provides high accuracy but requires significant computational resources and offers limited flexibility for rapid parameter variation. In recent years, machine learning methods have been increasingly applied in engineering practice. Among them, neural networks are of particular interest, as they allow nonlinear relationships between loads and stresses to be captured while significantly reducing computation time compared to traditional models. This work proposes an approach for predicting maximum stresses in the “shaft–insert” system by combining three-dimensional finite element modeling with subsequent neural network training. A database was created containing the results of numerical experiments for different combinations of bending and contact loads. A fully connected neural network with three hidden layers and different activation functions was used for training. The quality of the model was assessed using standard metrics: Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination R2. The trained neural network demonstrated high accuracy in predicting maximum stresses both in the shaft and in the insert. For the training set, the R2 value reached 0.99991, and for the test set it was 0.99984, confirming minimal deviations from finite element results. The MAE was less than 0.006, while the maximum relative error in the test set did not exceed 3.2 %. The developed neural network model demonstrated the ability to reproduce the results of finite element analysis for the “shaft–insert” system while providing a substantial reduction in computation time compared to traditional finite element simulations. The model was constructed for a limited range of loads; therefore, further research should focus on expanding the dataset and including additional materials, which will make it possible to evaluate the scalability of the approach and its robustness under more complex conditions.

Keywords: neural networks, machine learning, tribo-fatigue system, stress–strain state, maximum stresses, MONICA, solid mechanics, finite element modeling, contact interaction

Acknowledgements. This work was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (project No. 23-RB-09-27, 15.12.2023) and the Belarusian Republican Foundation for Fundamental Research (project No. T24SPbG-003).

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